Sterling continued to gain support from expectations that a ‘no-deal’ Brexit would be ruled out with the trade-weighted index hitting 10-month highs.

There was mixed dollar trading with limited gains on the back of declines in commodity currencies as markets monitored US political developments.

Sterling continued to gain support from expectations that a ‘no-deal’ Brexit would be ruled out with the trade-weighted index hitting 10-month highs. Brexit hopes also helped protect Euro sentiment with little net EUR/USD change.

Risk appetite faltered after Chinese PMI manufacturing reinforced global growth doubts and equity markets registered limited net losses.

Oil prices were boosted by a sharp decline in crude inventories, but demand concerns limited support with limited losses on Thursday.

Precious metals edged lower with a lack of significant defensive support.

Sterling continued to push higher during Wednesday as markets maintained a more optimistic Brexit stance. There were further expectations that a ‘no-deal’ outcome would be ruled out within parliament which underpinned sentiment. There was a significant increase in UK bond yields which also helped underpin Sterling, although the impact was offset by higher yields in other major markets. The trade-weighted index strengthened to a 10-month high with an 8-month GBP/USD peak near 1.3350.

The government survived the series of votes in the House of Commons, maintaining expectations that a disruptive Brexit would be avoided on March 29th. There was also speculation that there would be a meaningful vote next week. The UK currency was vulnerable to a correction, although it held the bulk of daily gains as GBP/EUR posted fresh 21-month highs above 1.1650 before a limited correction.

There was a notable decline for the Lloyds business confidence index while consumer confidence stabilised. GBP/USD consolidated near 1.3300 on Thursday with the potential for choppy trading on month-end pressures.

Economic Calendar

Expected Previous
07:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices (Y/Y)(FEB) 0.40% 0.10%
07:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices (M/M)(FEB) - 0.30%
07:45 Consumer Spending MM(JAN) - -1.50%
07:45 GDP Detailed QQ 0.30% 0.30%
08:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator(FEB) - 95
09:00 Consumer Price Prelim MM(FEB) 0.20% 0.10%
09:00 Consumer Price Prelim YY(FEB) 1.10% 0.90%
09:00 CPI (EU Norm) Prelim MM(FEB) -0.10% -1.70%
09:00 CPI (EU Norm) Prelim YY(FEB) 1.20% 0.90%
13:00 FOMC Member Richard Harris Clarida Speech - -
13:00 Germany Harmonised CPI (M/M)(FEB) - -1.00%
13:00 Germany Harmonised CPI (Y/Y)(FEB) 1.80% 1.70%
13:00 Germany CPI (Y/Y)(FEB) 1.50% 1.40%
13:00 Germany CPI (M/M)(FEB) 0.50% -0.80%
13:30 USD GDP (Annualized) 2.40% 3.40%
13:30 USD GDP Price Index (Q/Q) 1.70% 1.50%
13:30 CAD Current Account (Q/Q) -11.5B -10.3B
13:30 CAD RMPI (M/M)(JAN) - 3.80%
13:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims(FEB 02) 1.733K 1.725K
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims(FEB 02) 221K 216K
13:50 FOMC Member Raphael Bostic speech - -
14:45 USD Chicago PMI(FEB) 58.2 56.7
16:00 FOMC Harker Speech - -
18:00 FOMC Robert Kaplan Speech - -
21:45 NZD Building Permits (M/M)(JAN) - 5.10%
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index(FEB) - 52.5
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate(JAN) 2.4 2.4

*All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only. It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold. Rates are correct as of 8:00am UK time. CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown.