GBP Soars, USD Gains Momentum, Euro Retail Slips.

GBP: Ascending Heights

With a resolute stride, the GBP/USD pair continues its upward trajectory for the third consecutive session, inching closer to the 1.2630 mark during Thursday’s Asian session. The Pound Sterling (GBP) finds itself bolstered against the US Dollar (USD), which grapples with subdued yields and a revitalized risk-on sentiment. The pair encounters upward momentum, potentially facing resistance at key levels around 1.2650 and 1.2673. A breach above these thresholds could solidify the bullish sentiment, propelling the pair towards the psychological barrier at 1.2700. However, caution is warranted as technical indicators reveal a bearish undertone, with support zones hovering near 1.2600 and 1.2550, signaling potential pullbacks.

USD: Fortifying Foundations

Standard Chartered’s analysis points to an extended period of Dollar strength, fueled by robust US economic indicators. The exceptional performance in January’s job data challenges previous expectations of a gradual demand softening, amplifying the probability of sustained USD dominance. Analysts anticipate further Dollar gains, especially if incoming data continues to affirm the positive signals from the job report. Notably, currencies such as the Euro, Canadian Dollar, and Franc are identified as particularly vulnerable, susceptible to pressure from softening inflation or economic activity.

EUR: Retail Realities

Eurostat’s insights reveal a retreat in the volume of retail trade across both the Euro area and the European Union (EU) in December 2023. Both regions witnessed a decline compared to the preceding month, with year-on-year figures reflecting a similar downward trend. Non-food product sales experienced a notable contraction in December, with varying impacts observed across Member States. Despite pockets of growth in certain sectors on a year-on-year basis, the overall retail trade volume for 2023 witnessed a decrease when juxtaposed with 2022 figures, suggesting underlying challenges within the retail landscape. The data underscores the nuanced dynamics at play within the Eurozone’s retail sector, hinting at broader economic implications and consumer behavior trends.

*All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only. It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold. Rates are correct as of 8:00am UK time. CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown.