Economic Data’s Influence on Exchange Rates.
USD: The Pound to Dollar exchange rate is poised for volatility if U.S. inflation data falls short of expectations this Wednesday. Despite a recent uptick, the Dollar remains strong, backed by analysts’ forecasts. However, a weak inflation report could challenge this trend, potentially pushing the Pound to Dollar conversion above its 200-day moving average.
GBP: Britain’s economy shows signs of resilience, with GDP data indicating a shift from previous weakness to growth. Positive indicators like rising real wages and easing mortgage pressures suggest a solid foundation for 2024, despite potential rate cuts. While uncertainties persist, the FTSE hits new highs, and the pound remains steady, underlining confidence in the UK’s economic trajectory.
EUR: The Euro continues its upward trajectory, bolstered by resilient economic data. However, its ascent hinges on U.S. inflation and retail sales figures this week. A soft U.S. report could propel the Euro past the psychological barrier of 1.08 against the Dollar. Mixed data from Germany initially challenged the Euro, but better-than-expected retail sales and industrial production ultimately provided support, leaving the currency without a clear direction by week’s end.